DAILY REPORT FOR 15 FEBRUARY, 2007

NIFTY: - Open 4045 High 4057 Low 3965 Close 4047 (dn 3 pts)

P/E 19.47 P/B 5.15 Adv 29 Dec 21 Vol Rs 8879 Cr

EMA20 4103 EMA50 4016 EMA100 3866

Supp 4000/3944/3895 Res 4075/4110/4140

SENSEX: - Open 13990 High 14037 Low 13805 Close 14010 (dn 81 pts)

EMA20 14219 EMA50 13922 EMA100 13383

Supp 13890/13800/13670 Res 14095/14175/14300

What happened on Wednesday:-

Markets opened gap-down in the morning but recovered somewhat during the day. Metal stocks bounced back as Nalco and Hindalco were among highest gainers on the Nifty. Banks faced most of the selling on the back of CRR hike by RBI. Finally we finished where we started.

Top Gainers: - Nalco, MTNL, Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, RCom

Top Losers: - OBC, SBI, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Maruti

FII trading activity: - Buy Rs 2493.37 Cr Sell Rs 2658.01 Cr Net Sell Rs 164.64 Cr (Provisional for 14 February 2007)

Indian ADRs: - http://tinyurl.com/33m7dx

F&O Hints:-

Stocks that added Open Interest: - Guj Amb Cem, Zee Tele, UTI Bank, Ultratech, JSW Steel, Sesa Goa, Karnataka Bank, Maruti, IFCI

Stocks that lost OI: - RPL, Bharti Airtel, Hind Const, Sun TV, Cairn, Kotak Bank, Auro Pharma, Bajaj Hind

Outlook for Thursday:-

We have chased support levels and we have closed well too. The stage is set for a bounce back but for that we require strong buying which is just not emerging from last 4-5 days. We have to cross crucial levels known as resistances; we have to see Up Closings for confirming strength.

There is news in the media that our markets contain money of terrorists. That news can affect the stock markets in a negative way, but the impact may be limited only to small companies as those are the ones which can be manipulated.

US Markets were positive and all ADRs closed very strongly in the upward region. Asian markets are trading firm.

FMCG stocks like Colgate, Hind Lever and ITC continue to look very attractive.

Reliance group stocks have shown strength. So they should move up when we see some recovery. Also IT companies are not much affected by interest rate changes, so they can perform if market is going down only because of interest rate hikes.

Trading Picks:-

BHEL (2320):- Supp is at 2300/2280. Buy for target of 2400

L&T (1614):- Supp 1600/1580. It can target 1650/1685

Indian economy on course http://tinyurl.com/2sf9ms

What makes China tick http://tinyurl.com/3buoaq

Wockhardt to double hospitals http://tinyurl.com/34j2ko

Disclaimer: These recommendations are based on the theory of technical analysis and personal observations. This does not claim for profit. I am not responsible for any losses made by traders. It is only the outlook of the market with reference to its previous performance. You are advised to take your position with your sense and judgment. I am trying to consider the fundamental validity of stocks as far as possible, but demand and supply affects it with vision variations.

DAILY REPORT FOR 14 FEBRUARY, 2007

NIFTY: - Open 4069 High 4133 Low 3998 Close 4045 (dn 14 pts)

P/E 19.45 P/B 5.15 Adv 16 Dec 34 Vol Rs 10010 Cr

EMA20 4109 EMA50 4015 EMA100 3862

Supp 3985/3943/3885 Res 4120/4195/4250

SENSEX: - Open 14168 High 16364 Low 13958 Close 14091 (dn 99 pts)

EMA20 14241 EMA50 13919 EMA100 13371

Supp 13930/13665/13530 Res 14210/14375/14540

What happened on Tuesday:-

We witnessed a very volatile day. It was like a yo-yo the whole day and market players were forced to ponder about how the closing would be i.e. UP or DOWN. First we saw panic to take us to 14013 levels and then strong bounce back, just to break the lows once again and go below psychological levels of 14000. But again there was a final bounce-back to close just 14 points down on the Nifty and almost 100 points on the Sensex.

Top Gainers:- Zee Tele, Bajaj Auto, GAIL, ONGC, Bharti Airtel

Top Losers:- VSNL, Jet Airways, Hindalco, RCom, L&T

FII trading activity:- Buy Rs 2585.42 Cr Sell Rs 2970.53 Cr Net Sell Rs 385.11 Cr (Provisional for 13 February 2007)

Indian ADRs :- http://tinyurl.com/33m7dx

F&O Hints:-

Stocks that added Open Interest :- Guj Amb Cem, UTI Bank, Zee Tele, Orchid, L&T, IFCI

Stocks that lost OI:- ICICI Bank, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, SRF, Essar Oil, JStainless, RPL, Crompton Greaves, Federal Bank, Escorts, Hindalco, Satyam Comp, Bajaj Auto

Outlook for Wednesday:-

Initially consider 3985 and 3943 as crucial supports on the Nifty. The same levels on the Sensex are 13930 and 13860-13880. It must not be cut and we must not close below this region. If that happens, the fall can get bigger in near future.

But this looks distant and some morning panic is possible because of CRR hike. Banks may open gap down. But the CRR hike looks like discounted by the market already and we should recover from the panic situation.

Global cues are not so strong to give any indication. Just Wipro and MTNL ADRs closed in the positive yesterday. All others were down.

Catch them falling:-

FMCG stocks like ITC, Hind Lever, Colgate have not seen much of selling in this fall and can be picked for short term bounce. Other stocks to buy are Larsen & Toubro (1593/1580), Infosys(2260/2230), Dr Reddy(710-715), Tcs(1220/1190), Maruti(870), Beml(1055-1070), Bhel(2250-2270). Investors can buy them. (The levels in brackets show short term supports and they should be used as guidelines and not as exact touching points)

RBI hikes CRR http://tinyurl.com/2e7afo

TCS opens joint venture in China http://tinyurl.com/33hyb5

Disclaimer: These recommendations are based on the theory of technical analysis and personal observations. This does not claim for profit. I am not responsible for any losses made by traders. It is only the outlook of the market with reference to its previous performance. You are advised to take your position with your sense and judgment. I am trying to consider the fundamental validity of stocks as far as possible, but demand and supply affects it with vision variations.